AI R&D is accelerating. The control evidence is not keeping pace
New reporting points to faster model development, but the strongest claims still rest on uncertain and partly redacted evidence.
2026-11-09 · 5 min · 5 sources
AI Explained
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Forecasting & synthesis
Model releases, capabilities, safety and industry developments
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Our analysis featuring AI Explained
OpenAI's training-run safety case is still a plan, not a clearance
OpenAI and a close outside reader agree on layered controls; the unresolved question is who can test the evidence and stop a run.
2026-10-12 · 6 min · 4 sources
The real AI acceleration signal is organizational, not benchmark-based
Three recent accounts point to a better executive test: measure how AI changes the R&D system, not just how models score.
2026-09-28 · 6 min · 9 sources
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